$400 Million Was Bet on How the Iran War Ends

$400 million in real money was wagered on prediction markets about the Iran-Hormuz standoff. We built the game theory model. Two players. Two choices each. No pure Nash Equilibrium. The math says both sides must randomize — and every outcome is equally likely. Then we plugged in Polymarket data and public statements. The results aren't good for your gas bill. #iran #gametheory #hormuz #oilprices #geopolitics #polymarket #moneynmaps Created with geotasker.ai